Analysis & Opinion

Investors are on edge ahead of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy decision as inflation fears return to the forefront. I believe Fed Chair Powell will strike a hawkish tone and push back...

All eyes are now on the Fed meeting. How will the dollar react to the FOMC policy decision, with more key data coming up on Friday? Dollar Index technical analysis points higher. Today’s US...

In an op-ed for the Washington Post on November 5, 2010, Ben Bernanke did a victory lap, praising the Fed’s efforts in stemming the financial crisis. In the article, he discusses how QE and...

The value of modeling recession risk-based multiple indicators is a hardy perennial. The latest example comes by way of aggregating trends in the 50 US state economies for estimating the odds that an...

The S&P 500 was down about 1.6% heading into the FOMC meeting and Quarterly Refunding Announcement today. The VIX 1-Day was up 8.3 points to 18.10, which suggests much of the decline yesterday...

Amazon reports earnings today, with investors focusing on AI, cloud, advertising, and the macro impact. Analysts expect strong growth, with EPS projected at $0.83 and revenue at $142.5B. The Fed...

In our previous update from early April, we found that the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) had peaked at $18464 on March 21, which was only 0.81% below the ideal target of ~$18615 we had set forth three weeks prior....

The momentum factor is on track to end April as it began: the strongest year-to-date performer among US equity factors, based on a set of ETFs through Friday’s close (Apr. 26).In line with...